Thursday, November 13, 2014

Why Everybody Who Doesn’t Hate Bitcoin Loves It: A New Freakonomics Radio Podcast


(Photo: Jason Benjamin)
(Photo: Jason Benjamin)
After being bombarded by email requestsfor months, Freakonomics Radio has finally caved and made an episode about Bitcoin. It’s called “Why Everybody Who Doesn’t Hate Bitcoin Loves It.” (You can download/subscribe at iTunes, get the RSS feed, or listen via the media player above. You can also read the transcript, which includes credits for the music you’ll hear in the episode.) The gist: thinking of Bitcoin as just a digital currency is like thinking about the Internet as just e-mail. Its potential is much more exciting than that.
Bitcoin is often described as “virtual gold” — as well as everything from a “bubble” to a “Ponzi scheme” to “a haven for individuals to buy black market items.” But what excites some people, like Silicon Valley veteran Marc Andreessen, is Bitcoin’s potential as a new technology that could underlie any number of transactions, well beyond the simple swapping of currency.
Andreessen, a Web pioneer, is now on the board of companies like Facebook and eBay. He is not a disinterested observer in the Bitcoin debate: his venture-capital firm Andreessen Horowitzhas invested around $50 million in two Bitcoin-related companies, including Coinbase, and Andreessen says they plan to invest much more to enable Bitcoin to go mainstream.
Why such confidence? The reason, Andreessen tells Stephen Dubner, is that Bitcoin is “the solution to a fundamental problem in computer science”:
ANDREESSEN: One of the things … that’s been missing on the Internet for 20 years is kind of a native concept of money…The ability to very easily pay somebody online, the ability to very easily charge for a piece of content, the ability to very easily exchange a digital title, or a digital key, or a digital contract has just been missing because you have no mechanism for establishing trust. And so Bitcoin basically holds the promise of being the first solution to establishing trust over an untrusted network.
Susan Athey, an award-winning economist at Stanford with a background in computer science, is also a big believer in the technology behind Bitcoin; for what it’s worth, Athey advises the company behind Ripple, which is Bitcoin’s top competitor (by market cap):
ATHEY: The beauty of a new currency, which is part of a virtual currency protocol, is that what I’m moving from me to you is just an entry on a secure, public ledger. And that public ledger is maintained by a set of computers all talking to each other using a protocol. So I don’t have to worry about some bank giving me an IOU and then giving that IOU and handing it to another bank. Instead, if I make a transaction over the virtual currency, it’s just an entry in the ledger. So I don’t need a middleman.
New York Superintendent of Financial Services Benjamin Lawsky, who is leading the charge toregulate Bitcoin in the U.S., tells Dubner that he is concerned about the freedom Bitcoin affords to criminals:
LAWSKY: It’s very hard to transport $1 million in hard currency overseas. You can’t just put it in a backpack and get it on a plane very easily. But it is very easy to do that now digitally using Bitcoin.
That said, Lawsky is also excited about the possibilities of a technology like Bitcoin, which could bring down all sorts of transaction fees. This may be bad news for traditional banks, credit-card companies, and other fee-seeking middlemen. But, as Lawsky points out, a lot of other people stand to benefit:
LAWSKY: Right now, there are thousands and thousands of New Yorkers who work hard every day to send money back home to their families in whatever country they’re from…And right now they’re paying fees for those wire transactions each week at the end of the week, 7, 8, 9 percent. And that’s a lot of money for people who often can’t afford it.
A crowd of leading economists, including two Nobel laureates and former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan, have bashed Bitcoin. They’ve expressed alarm about the astronomical rise in the digital currency’s value. Marc Andreessen argues that they are missing the larger point:
ANDREESSEN: It’s a little bit like dogs watching TV. It’s like, it’s all very interesting, but like whatever until another dog shows up on screen and then the dog freaks out. Economists, like this stuff is all like, whatever, technology, geek, nerds whateverand then “currency” is the flag. And so the minute the word “currency” shows up, all the economists perk up because if there’s one thing economists are all experts on it’s currency… And they look at it and they say, “Oh my god, people are paying $600 for this thing, it’s just a piece of fake digital currency, people have just lost their minds.” I don’t think that they are looking at the underlying substance.
The episode also addresses a question many of you asked when Freakonomics Radio ran a fund-raising campaignwhy don’t you guys accept Bitcoin?

AUDIO TRANSCRIPT

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  1. specks says:
    I think this company solves all your problems if you want to receive donations in Bitcoin https://bitpay.com/they isolate you from volatility, however you should consider keeping some in Bitcoin in case they go up in value, try keeping 10% in bitcoin and see how you did at the end of a year.
    Well-loved. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 16 Thumb down 4
    • opello says:
      Indeed. I couldn’t fathom how this wasn’t trivially discovered and brought up. A Google, DuckDuckGo, Yahoo!, or even Bing search for “bitcoin payment processor” has BitPay as the first result. I guess maybe this whole Internet thing might not actually be catching on …
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      • Eric R says:
        If the point is that it is cheaper without middle-men, then a solution to making it easy to accept bit coins is to have a middle-man seems pretty absurd, no?
        Retailers still come out ahead since essentially the consumer is paying for fraud, not the credit card companies and retailers [ie if my bit coin wallet is compromised or lost, it is my problem, not their problem]
        Well-loved. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 8 Thumb down 2
    • Josh r says:
      Or coinbase — Which was mentioned a few times and was funded by one of the guests..
      In a way this is kinda how learning about bitcoin works though. You cant learn everything in one fell swoop..
      Thumb up 4 Thumb down 1
  2. Scott says:
    The Hobby Lobby case going before the Supreme Court highlights our flat currency. We can use our paychecks for whatever we want and it’s only constrained by our geography and perhaps a few other negligible variables. The other part of our payment that is not fungible is employee benefits which is programmed to be used for healthcare. Since it could be used for contraceptives, Hobby Lobby is arguing that infringes on its religious freedoms. A cryptocurrency payment could be programmed to ensure that employees of a particular company do not purchase goods or services that violate an employers’ standards. The decision that the Supreme Court arrives at will apply to all of us. Why can’t a cryptocurrency obviate the need for one-size-fits-all laws and create rules for individual companies at a more granular level?
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    • Eric R says:
      “A cryptocurrency payment could be programmed to ensure that employees of a particular company do not purchase goods or services that violate an employers’ standards.”
      If I work at Hobby Lobby and they pay me in bitcoins that can’t be used to buy contraceptives, what stops me from cashing out my bit coins and then buying whatever I’d like with cash?
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    • James says:
      If you could program a cryptocurrency in such a way that it couldn’t be used for particular kinds of purchases, who would ever accept it? Even if the first recipient had no objection to the restrictions, subsequent sellers likely would – since any such programming would have to be permanent.
      Second point, how could the currency know what it’s being used to buy? Laundering would seem to be trivally simple.
      Well-loved. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 5 Thumb down 0
  3. Mike B says:
    Someone ran the data transfer numbers of public ledger cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and quickly determined that a single system can only support about 100,000 users before the data transfer loads became impractical. If that stands it will be impossible for every person to participate in the Bitcoin system and normal users will have to rely on trusted third parties to do the verification process and charge a fee for the service. At that point we have just come full circle back to banks.
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    • Simon says:
      Yep.
      The bitcoin network can only handle a maximum of 5000 transactions in every block. A block get mined around once every 10 minutes. That is roughly 7 transactions per second. For a real world example, visa processes around 4000 tps.
      Now, the bitcoin fanatics will tell you “oh we can just increase the number of transactions per block, it’s an artificial limit!” There are bigger issues with this. Every single transaction is between 200 and 500 bytes. Lets plug in visa’s numbers to see just how large this will get. 200 (minimum size transaction) * 2400000 (visa transactions in 10 minutes) = 480,000,000. That’s 480 megabytes that every single bitcoin user needs to download every 10 minutes just to use the currency. Minimum! Only for visa!
      Remember that bitcoin is just a distributed ledger. So every single user also has to store that 480MB every 10 minutes. That 2.8GB an hour, 69GB a day. There is no reasonable solution to this that doesn’t involve using some sort of third party. Who you would have to trust. At that point…what’s the point of the whole thing anyway?
      Well-loved. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 19 Thumb down 9
      • Wayne says:
        Your information isn’t correct on many levels. But here is a few points:
        - The blockchain storage requirements only have to be meant by miners. Normal users don’t have to store the block chain. There are also many other sites, like wallet providers that store the blockchain.
        - The blockchain doesn’t even have to exist in full at every site.
        - There hasn’t been much work done on reducing the storage requirements yet, but there probably will be in the future.
        Basically you are assuming that there isn’t anyway for a growing bitcoin community that has vast amount of programming talent to make the system work. That isn’t a good bet to make.
        Well-loved. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 8 Thumb down 2
  4. Michael M says:
    “LAWSKY: It’s very hard to transport $1 million in hard currency overseas. You can’t just put it in a backpack and get it on a plane very easily. But it is very easy to do that now digitally using Bitcoin.”
    I’m still a little confused, maybe because I didn’t pay much attention on my economy class, but I still don’t understand how this digital transfer of currency works. Say, if I for example where going to transfer $1,000 in cash to China, and would choose to do it digitally. Then I go and buy $1,000 worth of bitcoins, that is, I give my hard cash to that intermediary that would transform that value into bitcoin (probably here is my confusion), send it digitally to china, and someone in china would withdraw $1,000 in cash though the intermediary (or however its possible)… My question is, what happened to the physical cash I left with the intermediary, or bank or whatever company that converted that value into bitcoin? Isn’t it still there when the other person in china withdraws it in cash in the other end of the transfer? Isn’t it like duplicating money but in two different parts of the planet? or the inermediary on my side just shreds the physical cash, and in China the just print new money?
    Please help on my lack of economic knowledge… :) Thanks!!
    Thumb up 2 Thumb down 1
    • James says:
      The important point here is that most money isn’t actual physical cash, it’s entries in various accounting systems. What happens when you pay a bill on-line? A number gets subtracted from your account in your bank’s accounting system, and added to the bank account of the company you pay. In principle it’s the same for doing a transfer to someone in China: the problem is !@#$ US government bureaucrats who’ve mandated incompatible systems.
      in Europe (where I have first-hand experience) it’s trivial to move money between banks in different countries. Indeed, until a couple of years ago, I had no problems using my European bank’s ATM card to withdraw cash in the US, or vice versa.
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    • David M says:
      When you buy $1000 worth of BTC, someone is selling you an asset.
      You then transfer that asset to another person in China who is unrelated to the person you bought the bitcoins from.
      They then sell the bitcoins to any local buyer to exchange it for local currency.
      No money is destroyed or created, but an asset is bought, transfered to a new owner & then sold.
      Thumb up 2 Thumb down 0
  5. Greg says:
    The Paul Krugman quote you used on your show was taken of context (as professor Krugman has explained many times whenever someone brings it up). He is very outspoken again Bitcoin and a very established economist with views that run counter to many of those in the field of macroeconomics. I think it would be great to invite him on your podcast sometime. I’m sure he and Levitt would have a lot to agree/disagree about.
    Thumb up 4 Thumb down 5
    • Hamza says:
      Paul Krugman has too much self-confidence, which makes me talk BS all the time without understanding how stuffs work. Any quote is always taken outside of context : but the fact is he did say that and he was – as always – so sure about his opinion. He’s making the same again with bitcoins, even though nobody really knows if bitcoin is going to vanish or become the next monetary revolution. He should copy the humility of Dubner or Levitt, who rarely engage in this “folly of prediction”.
      And by the way, if Krugman isn’t invited very much in Freakonomics, it’s probably because his field of studies is not covered by the podcast, if only because the show is more oriented towards microeconomics rather than macro.
      Well-loved. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 9 Thumb down 3
      • Greg says:
        When Dr. Krugman wears his hat as a New York Times columnist, he frequently writes political opinion pieces. However, he is also a very good economist when he is not writing those pieces. He has made a lot of predictions about what would happen to the US economy since 2009 and most of them have come true. For example, when many University of Chicago economists were predicting lots of inflation in response to all the government spending, Dr. Krugman and Joe Stiglitz insisted that there would be very little inflation. And their Keynesian models were completely right about what would happen.
        Dr. Levitt has criticized the “folly of prediction,” but he makes tons of them all the time using his models — just like Dr. Krugman does. Dr. Levitt has criticized Keynesian economics on many occasions without acknowledging that it is still a large school of economic thought. Yes Freakonomics does dive into some macroeconomic arguments from time to time.
        I’m just saying that it might be nice in the future to invite Dr. Krugman on the show, especially since Dr. Krugman’s popular economic writings are at least as popular and influential to the general public as this podcast.
        Thumb up 3 Thumb down 3
    • Johnny says:
      Greg, are you Paul Krugman?
      Thumb up 4 Thumb down 1
  6. Alex in Chicago says:
    The reason Politicians don’t like (aka “are concerned”) about bitcoin is because it makes it harder for them to tax away everyones income. That, plus the internet being basically its own self-governing entity is exposing how corrupt, inflexible, and outdated the majority of modern governments are.
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  7. d says:
    thanks guys for covering this, please do another show covering cryptocurrency, there is a lot going on that you guys could analyze.
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  8. Mastodon Henley says:
    *eagerly awaits a follow-up episode not essentially co-produced by Andreessen
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